is there enough insurance?

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The CHERNOBYL reactor explosion in 1986

On the 12th April 2005 the United Nations News Service (Refs.9,10&11) reported that:

"Nearly 8.4 million people in Belarus, Ukraine and Russia were exposed to radiation when the Chernobyl plant in Ukraine blew up. Beyond the cancers and chronic health problems, especially among children, some 150,000 kilometres - an area half the size of Italy - were contaminated, while agricultural areas covering nearly 52,000 square kilometres, more than the size of Denmark, were ruined."

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The cost of the Chernobyl reactor explosion

Estimates of the total costs of the Chernobyl accident range between £6 Billion and £200 Billion (Ref.12), which may be compared with the maximum total of compensation payable under United Kingdom legislation of three hundred million 'Special Drawing Rights' (a unit of account used by the International Monetary Fund worth about one euro) Even if this amount had been paid out in response to the minimum estimate of possible claims, there would have been a shortfall of more than ninety five percent. By comparison with the total of possible claims for the more realistic maximum, the compensation available would be almost negligible. Worse, a lawyer's opinion (Ref. 9) indicates that the proof of causality of ill health and death is notoriously difficult to establish in court. The extent of physical harm may not become apparent for decades and when cancers do appear they may be indistinguishable from cancers with other causes.

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The insurance cover for nuclear accidents is poor indeed

It is clear from reference 9 that:

"The following losses were not covered by the Paris/Vienna Conventions or the Nuclear Installations Act 1965 at the time of Chernobyl and remain uncovered today:

Modernising the liability regime would involve: explicit provision for all these heads of damages including damage to the environment and natural resources;

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The consequences of the Sizewell 'B' RPV explosion

30. It is quite clear that in the event of an explosion of the Sizewell 'B' reactor pressure vessel, the consequences would be on a comparable scale to those at Chernobyl and the persons affected would be massively disadvantaged. As is the case with those affected by the Chernobyl event.

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The government's words on risk control

Her Majesty's Treasury - Green Book (Ref.13) In recent years the United Kingdom government has required all government departments to apply managerial techniques to the control of all of the risks which may accompany their activities. In order to achieve this aim the government has caused the Treasury Department to provide a comprehensive guide to risk assessment and control, called 'The Green Book'. It says:

"The purpose of the Green Book is to ensure that no policy, programme or project is adopted without first having the answer to these questions:

· Are there better ways to achieve this objective?

· Are there better uses for these resources?"

An example of the kind of measures imposed can be found at Annex 4, where Her Majesty's Government/Treasury requires the keeping by each Department of a RISK REGISTER or RISK LOG, as follows:

"BOX 4.1: RISK REGISTER (RISK LOG)

PURPOSE A risk register lists all the identified risks and the results of their analysis and evaluation.

Information on the status of the risk is also included.The risk register should be continuously updated and reviewed throughout the course of a project.

CONTENT

A risk register is best presented as a table for ease of reference and should contain the following information:

  1. Risk number (unique within register);
  2. Risk type;
  3. Author (who raised it);
  4. Date identified;
  5. Date last updated;
  6. Description;
  7. Likelihood;
  8. Interdependencies with other sources of risk;
  9. Expected impact;
  10. Bearer of risk;
  11. Countermeasures; and
  12. Risk status and risk action status."

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Nothing there when you look

The entries made by the Health and Safety Commission in this log relating to the risk of explosion of the Sizewell 'B' reactor pressure vessel are as follows:

(Ref. 14) "No relevant records can be located" Thus, it would appear that either the treasury directive is ignored in this respect, or the entries are hidden from public view, like the cracks in the pressure vessel.

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