inflation graph

The costs of UK Policy “Prepare and Decide”

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UK euro
How the €1 coin might look when it is introduced. 2006 is the earliest date for introduction of the euro if a referendum is held in 2003. Hold you mouse over the coin to see the other side (file may take a couple of seconds to load).
  • This is a paradox as the absence of large economy from EMU could reduce EMU’s success
  • out of EMU, out of decision making
  • ‘prepare & decide’ or ‘wait & see’ policy could mean that inward investment ‘waits & sees’ before committing itself – manufacturers already hurt by the strong £ & high interest rates will have difficulty attracting inward investment if investors think UK will not join or will join at too high a value for the £
  • UK’s policy of keeping inflation low solely with the use of interest rates means that they may have to be high (and thus the £ high) for a considerable period. If the £ is to be reduced to a PPP with the euro then interest rates will need to fall to Eurozone levels in the UK, a process which could increase inflation in the UK (partly because of SE England housing market
  • Political difficulties may not improve over time, and meanwhile UK is missing out on potential benefits
  • UK could become marginalised and even discriminated against in the single market

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PDF logo Second Outline National Changeover Plan (HM Treasury)

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Letzte Seitenänderung Februar 2002
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